{"id":3390,"date":"2026-04-10T16:36:40","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:36:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/?p=3390"},"modified":"2026-04-12T07:33:35","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T07:33:35","slug":"jak-to-zrobilismy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wiadomosci\/jak-to-zrobilismy\/","title":{"rendered":"How did we do it?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"765\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/las_wedrowiec_lampa-765x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3393\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/las_wedrowiec_lampa-765x1024.png 765w, https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/las_wedrowiec_lampa-224x300.png 224w, https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/las_wedrowiec_lampa-768x1029.png 768w, https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/las_wedrowiec_lampa-9x12.png 9w, https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/las_wedrowiec_lampa.png 896w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 765px) 100vw, 765px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If we compare ordinary planning to a kerosene lamp lighting our way during a night-time walk through the woods, then scenarios are nothing less than night-vision goggles. Admittedly, it does not allow us to see the branches under our feet, but it does allow us to spot a potential enemy from a great distance, even when they are hiding amongst the trees. Both approaches have their pros and cons. Ad hoc observation and trend extrapolation are useful tactically, but useless in the long run. However, thanks to them, we won\u2019t trip over a branch lying on the path. The downside of scenarios is, of course, their limited scope. But what if we carry out five or more integrated scenario studies and try in this way to broaden the spectrum of observed phenomena, whilst at the same time analysing trends? The resulting picture of the forest will never match that on a sunny day, but it will allow us to test whether we are straying from the path we have set ourselves, whilst avoiding potential pitfalls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These 20 scenarios didn\u2019t just appear out of thin air. They were developed through a complex, labour-intensive and unprecedented research process. Here\u2019s a brief recap of what we\u2019ve achieved over the last two years of work on Agenda 2040. Thank you to everyone for your collaboration, support and encouragement for this project.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What\u2019s next? Please join us for a short presentation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/agenda_ja_zrobilismy.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of agenda_ja_zrobilismy.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-61784c45-f1dd-4390-b99b-7e1e786d9726\" href=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/agenda_ja_zrobilismy.pdf\">agenda_ja_zrobilismy<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/agenda_ja_zrobilismy.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-61784c45-f1dd-4390-b99b-7e1e786d9726\">Pobierz<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"GNswcjwFUF\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/agenda-2040-wyniki-badan\/\">Agenda 2040 &#8211; wyniki bada\u0144<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8222;Agenda 2040 &#8211; wyniki bada\u0144&#8221; &#8212; Polskie Towarzystwo Cyfrowe\" src=\"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/agenda-2040-wyniki-badan\/embed\/#?secret=fwRa40verU#?secret=GNswcjwFUF\" data-secret=\"GNswcjwFUF\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Je\u015bli zwyk\u0142e planowanie por\u00f3wnamy do lampy naftowej o\u015bwietlaj\u0105cej nasz\u0105 drog\u0119 w czasie nocnej wycieczki przez las, to scenariusze s\u0105 niczym innym jak noktowizorem. Nie pozwala on co prawda dostrzec ga\u0142\u0119zi znajduj\u0105cych si\u0119 pod nogami, pozwala za to punktowo dostrzec potencjalnego wroga z du\u017cej odleg\u0142o\u015bci, nawet w sytuacji, gdy ten ukrywa si\u0119 mi\u0119dzy drzewami. Jedno i [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[117,225],"tags":[84,283,190],"class_list":["post-3390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agenda-2040","category-metodyka-badania","tag-polska-agenda-odpornosci-cyfrowej-2040","tag-prezentacje","tag-scenariusze"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3390"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3390\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3398,"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3390\/revisions\/3398"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cyfryzacja.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}